Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3831 US elections 2703 Foreign politics 410 Political Leader Tenure 340 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 202 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

10,908 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 1 of 417

InsightX

Open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Bernie Sanders1¢

2 outcomes

$1.2B Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Fed Decision in July?

123…417Next ›

No change79¢

5 outcomes

$93.3M Vol2d

Kalshi📰 News spike

Open

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom18¢

46 outcomes

$161M Vol▲ 1pts2y

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Most Seats

Labour36¢

9 outcomes

£259K Vol▲ 0pts3y

XO Market

Open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom42¢

8 outcomes

$78.5K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Limitless🔭 4 venues

Open

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

While No remains dominant because of sovereignty barriers and NATO friction, the market is still pricing a small but non-trivial chance that a Trump-linked private-sector energy play might achieve de facto control without a formal acquisition.

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$25.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Lula62¢

9 outcomes

$8.8K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ193K Vol▼ 1pts2y

Myriad

Open

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Despite a flurry of diplomatic activity and a softening of Zelenskyy's public stance, the market sees near-zero chance of a formal ceasefire before August because Russia's explicit rejection of a pause (Türkiye Today, Jul 24) and insistence that only the U.S. can provide credible deterrence (Ukrinform, Jul 25) make a binding agreement within the five-day window virtually impossible.

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

35.4K Vol▲ 0pts5d

InsightX

Open

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Byron Donalds1¢

2 outcomes

$678M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi⚡ Moving fast

Open

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance40¢

38 outcomes

$54.1M Vol▲ 1pts2y

Smarkets

Open

2028 Presidential Election Winner

JD Vance18¢

40 outcomes

£243K Vol▲ 0pts2y

XO Market

Open

Brazil Presidential election winner

Lula65¢

3 outcomes

$56.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Limitless🔭 3 venues

Open

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

The market sees a near-zero chance of invasion by end of 2026, reflecting a consensus that China's costs would far outweigh any gains, as reinforced by a recent Washington Times op-ed and diplomatic signals from the Trump-Xi summit.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$8.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026

Cleitinho Azevedo60¢

4 outcomes

$3K Vol▼ 2pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ8.8K Vol▼ 1pts1y

Myriad

Open

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Despite a flurry of diplomatic activity and Zelenskyy signaling openness to a ceasefire, Russia's categorical refusal to pause fighting and the lack of any formal agreement framework keep the odds near zero for a deal before August 1.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

25.8K Vol▲ 0pts5d

InsightX

Open

Presidential Election Winner 2028

LeBron James0¢

2 outcomes

$670M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49¢

128 outcomes

$680M Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance18¢

30 outcomes

$54.3M Vol▼ 1pts3y

Smarkets

Open

Brazil Presidential Election — Next President of Brazil

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63¢

10 outcomes

£133K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

XO Market🔭 2 venues

Open

Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$5.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Limitless

Open

Trump out as President before 2027?

The market sees President Trump's removal as very unlikely despite imminent midterm election turmoil, because his firing of election commissioners (Reuters, Jul 10) raises fears of 'chaos' (The Guardian) but not of his own removal. The real story is that the market treats pre-2027 removal as nearly impossible unless a concrete health, legal, or coup scenario emerges, which headlines so far don't support.

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

São Tomé and Príncipe presidential election winner (2026)

Carlos Vila Nova98¢

5 outcomes

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1mo