MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Patrick Bailey at about a 1% chance.
The field is extraordinarily open with no candidate above 5% and only two named players; the biggest recent shift is the absence of 2025 winner Fernando Tatis Jr. from the market, likely due to injury or regression, opening the door for a new NL Platinum Glove winner.
What's driving it
- • The 2025 NL Platinum Glove was won by Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres) as reported by FOX Sports (Nov 10, 2025), but he is not a candidate in the current market, suggesting a major shift in expectations for 2026.
- • The only two named candidates, Patrick Bailey and Matt Olson, have odds of 1% and 0% respectively, indicating that bettors see no clear frontrunner yet for the 2026 award.
- • The low total probability for named candidates implies the market considers a wide range of players as possible winners, with no single dominant defender emerging in the first half of the 2026 season.
Why the front-runners lead
- • Patrick Bailey is a catcher for the San Francisco Giants, a premium defensive position, and his strong 2025 Gold Glove candidacy makes him a plausible winner if he replicates that defense.
- • Matt Olson, while a first baseman, has consistently ranked among the best in defensive runs saved and is the only other named candidate, giving him a base of awareness among bettors.
Why it's still open
- • The 0% and 1% odds show that even these named players are seen as extremely unlikely, with virtually no money behind them, meaning the true winner is likely someone else entirely.
- • The Platinum Glove often goes to highlight-reel defensive players like shortstops or outfielders, and neither Bailey nor Olson has the same flashy narrative.
- • The award is voted on by a combination of managers and statistical metrics, and a player who leads in advanced stats like OAA by season's end could easily overtake these low odds.
What to watch
- • Mid-season defensive statistics (e.g., Statcast OAA leaderboards) typically released in August could spotlight a surprise leader, shifting odds toward that player.
- • The MLB trade deadline on July 31, 2026, could move a top defender from the AL to the NL, creating a new contender.
- • The release of Gold Glove finalists in late October will directly narrow the field for Platinum Glove, so odds will react to those announcements.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Data from InsightX’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by the source platform according to the rules written into this specific market.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on InsightX ↗Related markets
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Which player will win the 2026 PDC World Matchplay?
10 outcomes
Ben Kohles vs The Field
Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.
2 outcomes
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Yes ≈ 100% chance