Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $52,145 at July 28, 2026 at 3pm ET?
🗂 Part of event: Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 28, 2026 at 3pm EDT →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 59% chance — more likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 59% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average (Index.US30/USD) is at least $52,145 at 3pm EDT on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026? — At least 50%
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Largest company end of July 2026?
The field is extremely concentrated, with NVIDIA at 82% and Apple at 18%, leaving no other candidate above 5% — a near two-horse race. The single biggest recent shift is NVIDIA's dominance, which appears to be sustained by its position as the largest technology company by market cap in July 2026 (The Motley Fool, Jul 7), with no clear catalyst for a sudden reversal.
8 outcomes