Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 6 percentage points?

🗂 Part of event: Ohio Senate margin of victory →

9¢Yes

16% 6 pts all-time

Yes

9¢

91¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 9% chance — very unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 9% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 3, 2027 · 1y

Total volume$3.7K

Open interest$1.4K

ListedApr 28, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Nov 3, 2027 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Ohio by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗