Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29779.99 at the end of Jul 28, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
🗂 Part of event: Nasdaq-100 price on Jul 28, 2026 at 2pm EDT? →Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Jul 28, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 29779.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Fed decision in July?
The field is highly concentrated on a hold, but the recent surge in oil prices near $100 (The Business Times, Jul 26) has injected fresh inflation fears, making a hike more plausible than the 78% hold odds suggest, while the Fed chair's deliberate opacity (MarketWatch, Jul 25) keeps the market guessing.
5 outcomes
Largest company end of July 2026?
The field is extremely concentrated, with NVIDIA at 82% and Apple at 18%, leaving no other candidate above 5% — a near two-horse race. The single biggest recent shift is NVIDIA's dominance, which appears to be sustained by its position as the largest technology company by market cap in July 2026 (The Motley Fool, Jul 7), with no clear catalyst for a sudden reversal.
8 outcomes