Bronny James' Next Team Before Oct 23, 2026
🗂 Part of event: Bronny James' Next Team Before Oct 23, 2026 →Tap a candidate to show/hide its line · double-tap to isolate
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Los Angeles L at about a 77% chance — likely.
Despite LeBron James leaving for the Philadelphia 76ers, Bronny James is heavily favored to remain with the Lakers, as recent statements from his agent and team reports suggest no immediate move, concentrating the field on Los Angeles.
What's driving it
- • Agent Rich Paul stated Bronny and LeBron are not a package deal (Fox News, Jul 25), reducing the expectation that Bronny would follow his father to Philadelphia.
- • The Lakers reportedly have no plans to trade Bronny (Bleacher Report, Jul 25), reinforcing his likelihood of staying with the team that drafted him.
- • ESPN reported there is 'no current plan' for Bronny to join the 76ers (Yahoo Sports, Jul 25), further dampening the Philadelphia narrative.
- • The leading candidate's probability rose 3 points in 24 hours, likely driven by these coordinated denials of a Bronny-LeBron reunion.
Why the front-runners lead
- • The Lakers hold Bronny's draft rights and have publicly signaled no intention to trade him, making them the default team unless circumstances change.
- • Philadelphia's second-place odds are driven solely by the LeBron connection, but that link has been explicitly rejected by Bronny's camp, weakening the case.
- • The 'Retires/No Team' option at 9% reflects the possibility that Bronny may not get NBA minutes, but his youth and contract make a quick retirement unlikely.
Why it's still open
- • The Lakers could still trade Bronny before the October 23 deadline if a compelling offer emerges, opening the field to other teams like Atlanta or Miami.
- • If Bronny is waived or fails to make the Lakers' final roster, he could sign with any team, including Philadelphia, as a free agent.
- • The 18% for Philadelphia shows persistent belief that LeBron's influence could eventually bring Bronny to the 76ers, despite current denials.
What to watch
- • Lakers' final roster cuts before the 2026-27 season (expected late October 2026) will clarify Bronny's status; if he is waived, odds for other teams would spike.
- • Any trade rumor involving Bronny before the October 23 resolution would shift probability toward the acquiring team, likely away from the Lakers.
- • If Bronny publicly requests a trade or expresses desire to join his father, Philadelphia's odds would rise sharply, countering current agent statements.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
Bronny James
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
3M Open Winner
Jackson Koivun commands an unusually high 54% probability for a PGA Tour event, but the 1-point dip in the last 24 hours hints at shifting money, and recent headlines focus entirely on the British Open victory by Ryan Fox (AP News, Jul 24), offering no clear catalyst for that movement or for Koivun's lead itself.
66 outcomes
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend — Match Winner
Despite Bilibili Gaming being the stronger team on paper, the odds have shifted significantly toward Anyone's Legend over the past week, likely driven by recency bias from other sports results rather than LoL-specific news.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Ruben Amorim remain Man United's head coach for 2026/27 season?
Despite multiple June 15 reports confirming Ruben Amorim's appointment as AC Milan head coach after exiting Manchester United, the market remains deadlocked at 50/50, suggesting either a lag in pricing or uncertainty about the exact definition of 'remain for 2026/27 season'.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
F1 2026 Prop Bets Hungary (Hungaroring) 🇭🇺 Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
The field is extremely concentrated, with all top candidates at 100% probability, reflecting a market that has resolved many binary propositions before the race weekend even begins, likely due to early qualifying and practice outcomes; the biggest recent shift is the emergence of several 100% leaders, but no single headline explains this as the market appears to have been updated based on live event results, not new analysis.
209 outcomes
Ben Kohles vs The Field
Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.
2 outcomes
Hungarian Grand Prix Winner
The probability is top-heavy (85% on three drivers) but lacks a clear catalyst for the slight 1-point uptick for Norris, suggesting bettors are pricing in recent form without a fresh news trigger.
22 outcomes