Will Hunter Biden be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
🗂 Part of event: 2028 Democratic presidential nominee →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
The market surged 12 points in 24 hours after Trump's ambiguous remarks at the White House Correspondents' Dinner were interpreted by some as a formal declaration of a 2028 run, despite the clear constitutional bar on a third term.
Yes ≈ 65% chance
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
The field is highly concentrated at the top, with Kennedy and Vance combining for 92% of the odds, but the real story is Kennedy's surge to 49%—a position that lacks any clear recent headline catalyst, as the provided headlines focus on Democratic odds, Loomer's Ukraine meeting, and a Buttigieg-Vance poll, not Kennedy.
128 outcomes