WI-04 Democratic nominee?
🗂 Part of event: WI-04 Democratic nominee? →Tap a candidate to show/hide its line · double-tap to isolate
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Gwen Moore at about a 97% chance — almost certain.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
WI-04 (D)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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