Will Performative be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Performative is the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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Yes ≈ 70% chance
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
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7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
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2 outcomes
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
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2 outcomes
Zohran Mamdani
Despite a firestorm of negative headlines on July 9, 2026, Mamdani's odds remain at 18%—a level that reflects both the long-shot historical base rate for state legislators being chosen and the possibility that his polarizing brand could make him a symbolic pick for a divided year.
Yes ≈ 28% chance