Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Unlinked free response. Resolves to all people who are elected president before 2033. Becoming president by other means does not count.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
The market heavily discounts a Trump 2028 announcement despite his continued political activity, reflecting his age, legal risks, and the party's gradual shift toward newer contenders.
Yes ≈ 64% chance
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
128 outcomes