Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 82% chance — likely.
Across venues
· updated 4mPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 12%–82%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply about a 16% chance that Putin will leave office before 2027, but the venues disagree sharply: Kalshi (real-money) shows 12% odds, while Manifold (play-money) shows 82%, likely due to differences in audience seriousness and liquidity.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 82% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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