Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Democrats win both senate and governor at about a 39% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves according to the winner of the 2026 November Iowa gubernatorial and US senate elections. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iowa_gubernatorial_election https://manifold.markets/Jack1/which-party-wins-the-2026-iowa-gove?r=SmFjazE https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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