Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Harry Kane at about a 44% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to the player who officially receives the 2026 Ballon d'Or award, as announced by France Football. The resolution will be based on the official results published by France Football or its recognized media partners (e.g., L'Équipe). If for any reason the award is cancelled for 2026, or if no official winner is named, this market will resolve to N/A. The market will resolve shortly after the official ceremony takes place. Background The Ballon d'Or is an annual football award presented by France Football to the player deemed to have performed the best over the previous season. As of 2024, the criteria for the award prioritize individual performance and decisive/impressive character over team trophies. The 2026 award will cover the 2025–2026 European club season and international competitions occurring during that window. The list of candidates provided represents prominent players frequently cited by analysts and betting markets as top contenders in recent years, though the eventual winner will be determined by a jury of international journalists. This description was generated by AI.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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