JD Vance wins 2028 Republican nomination?

42¢Yes

42% 3 pts all-time

Yes

42¢

58¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 42% chance — less likely than not.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 42% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 5, 2028 · 2y

Total volumeⱮ1.1K

24h volumeⱮ1

Liquidity

Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator

Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.

Closes Nov 5, 2028 (2y)

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Manifold ↗