Bitcoin Hit $1m USD By... (Choose your timescale)

50¢End of Dec 2046

Price history builds as this market trades.

No price history yet

End of Dec 204650%

End of Dec 203841%

End of Dec 203233%

End of Dec 202812%

End of Dec 20251%

End of Dec 20261%

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: End of Dec 2046 at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.

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StatusOpen

ClosesMar 7, 2050 · —

Total volumeⱮ7.3K

Liquidity

Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

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How it resolves

Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator

Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.

Closes Mar 7, 2050 (—)

Resolution criteria

Will be using the CoinDesk price pages to determine success. If CoinDesk is gone, will replace with another source. Example: it hits $1M for first time in Dec 2033. "End of Dec 2038" -> Yes, "End of Dec 2046" -> Yes, {all others} -> No Sort by "Old" to get them in date order if you like.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Manifold ↗