Crypto prediction markets
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,425 markets · page 1 of 185
ETH Up or Down - Daily
Despite a 65% price decline and extreme fear sentiment, the market heavily favors an up day, likely betting on a short-term bounce ahead of Ethereum's biggest upgrade in weeks and surging transaction volumes.
Yes ≈ 84% chance
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?
The market is effectively resolved as Bitcoin has traded well above $60,000 for several days, with headlines showing prices above $66,000 as of July 21 and bullish technical patterns emerging (CoinDesk, Jul 21; Yahoo Finance, Jul 25). The 100% Yes odds reflect that the noon ET close on July 26 is virtually certain to exceed the threshold.
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Will Bitcoin to cross $100,000 USD again in 2026?
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
Yes ≈ 29% chance
Pump’s next move: Pump to $0.005 or Dump to $0.001?
The market is heavily concentrated on the dump outcome at 81%, but the lack of any recent headlines or price action data means this skew likely reflects a structural base rate for low-cap tokens rather than a specific catalyst, leaving the field vulnerable to a sudden pump if any positive news emerges.
2 outcomes
SOL Up or Down - Daily
Solana's daily odds have dipped 4 points despite a massive DEX volume record, suggesting the market is pricing in that on-chain activity is not translating to price appreciation due to persistent institutional selling pressure.
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Meta to Launch Stablecoin Payments by October 2026
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Will $BTC cross $70000 before the end of July?
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Who IPOs first?
The field is extremely concentrated on just two candidates, with Anthropic at 86% and OpenAI at 14%, and the recent headlines about SpaceX's IPO struggles (e.g., stock sliding below IPO price, launch scrubbed) are irrelevant to this crypto-company race, leaving no clear catalyst for the current odds.
2 outcomes
BTC Up or Down - Daily
The 62% Yes probability for Bitcoin up today reflects a fragile market where a 4-point drop in 24 hours signals fading confidence, driven by a collapse in corporate buying and a recent 13% slide that decoupled crypto from record-high stocks.
Yes ≈ 77% chance
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? — ↑ 67,500
Bitcoin has only five days left in July to spike above $67,500, and despite a slight uptick from Japan ETF optimism, the probability remains low after a week of decline, reflecting skepticism that a sudden surge will occur.
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Arthur Hayes vs Kyle Samani: $HYPE to Outperform $SOL by Year-End?
2 outcomes
On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?
Yes ≈ 62% chance
ETH flipped on CMC Historicals in 2026?
The market strongly expects Ethereum to lose its long-held #2 spot to a competitor at some point in 2026, driven by a mix of DeFi exploit fears, Bitcoin's rising dominance under US policy, and the risk that Ethereum's upgrades won't keep pace with rivals.
Yes ≈ 67% chance