Trump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Trump wins 2024 AND China doesn't land on Moon before USA returns at about a 59% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets: (https://manifold.markets/embed/duck/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres)(https://manifold.markets/embed/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-land-people-on-the-moon)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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