Will Grover's algorithm be used to mine Bitcoin before 5 years after RSA-2048 is factored?
16¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 16% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 16% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesOct 13, 2044 · 18y
Total volumeⱮ259
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Oct 13, 2044 (18y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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