Winner of Democratic Primary for Michigans 13th District?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023) at about a 76% chance — likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Shri Thanedar is facing a primary challenge, by Donavan McKinney, and others. Donavan is endorsed by Bernie Sanders and Rashida Tlaib. Justice Democrats endorsed him also. David Hogg, endorsed him, and said, “Shri Thanedar is exactly the kind of out-of-touch, ineffective, and out-for-himself incumbent we want to kick out of office." Donavan is also endorsed by 2 former US Reps from Michigan, Andy Levin and Brenda Lawrence, and has the support of some State Rep colleagues. More Info on the primary here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan#District_13 Will Shri defeat the incumbent challenge, or will he be defeated by Donavan, or someone else? You can add an ‘Other’ answer if you think someone else can win. Resolves YES to the winner of the Democratic Primary for the 13th District House seat in Michigan, on August 4 2026. If the primary shifts dates, this resolves to the new date. Resolves based on major media reporting and election results.
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