Will George Russell win the F1 Drivers Championship 2026?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 10% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 10% right now.
Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 5, 2026, at 2:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 5, 2026, at 2:00 PM UTC, ahead of the last Qualifying. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” if George Russel is named the official 2026 F1 Drivers Championship winner. - Resolves to “**No**” if any other driver wins. ### **Resolution Details:** - Any points adjustments, penalties, or disqualifications announced before the FIA officially certifies the final standings will be included. - Post-season changes announced after official certification will not affect resolution. ### **Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - The 2026 FIA Formula One season is canceled, abandoned, or not completed in a manner that produces official final Drivers’ standings. - The FIA fails to publish official final standings. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to definitively determine the Drivers’ Champion. - The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Related markets
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Yes ≈ 5% chance
F1: Who will win the 2026 AWS Hungarian Grand Prix?
8 outcomes
Ben Kohles vs The Field
Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.
2 outcomes
Mackenzie Hughes vs The Field
The field is extremely concentrated against Mackenzie Hughes, with The Field at 98% reflecting a deep, talent-rich PGA Tour environment where a single underdog like Hughes faces overwhelming odds, and the biggest recent shift is the lack of any sustained momentum for Hughes despite a near-win at the Corales Puntacana Championship (Sportsnet.ca, Jul 17).
2 outcomes