Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 7% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 7% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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