Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?
🗂 Part of event: Eurovision 2027 Participants →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 35% chance — less likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 35% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2027 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) at the end of 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
How many consecutive weeks will "KPop Demon Hunters" stay in the Netflix Top 10?
The market is overwhelmingly concentrated on 'Other' at 99%, reflecting near-certainty that the show's record-breaking streak will end at some point beyond the current 11 weeks, with all specific week counts at 0% — a rare consensus that the exact duration is unpredictable despite the show's dominance.
34 outcomes
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
2 outcomes