Will VALORANT Viewership Surpass CS2 Viewership at a Major in 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Will VALORANT Viewership Surpass CS2 Viewership at a Major in 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 14% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 14% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." "Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai). "Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026. "Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology. This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event. If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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