Will Jordan Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
🗂 Part of event: MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 19% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 19% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
3M Open Winner
Jackson Koivun commands an unusually high 54% probability for a PGA Tour event, but the 1-point dip in the last 24 hours hints at shifting money, and recent headlines focus entirely on the British Open victory by Ryan Fox (AP News, Jul 24), offering no clear catalyst for that movement or for Koivun's lead itself.
66 outcomes
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Preston Stout (T20) vs OTHER
The field is extremely concentrated on 'OTHER' at 92%, with Preston Stout at just 8%, reflecting that Stout is a niche T20 golfer with no recent PGA Tour headlines, while the 'OTHER' category encompasses the entire PGA Tour field, which has been generating multiple headlines about players like J.T. Poston and Taylor Pendrith making notable shots in recent weeks.
2 outcomes
Kansas City vs Detroit
Despite Detroit's slight lead, Kansas City's recent win and Salvador Perez's franchise home-run record have significantly narrowed the gap, making this a near toss-up.
2 outcomes