Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?
🗂 Part of event: Bitcoin above ___ on July 26? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 83% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 83% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
The field is overwhelmingly concentrated on Bitcoin reaching $65k and $75k in 2026, both at 99%, reflecting the current price near $64k and a strong bullish consensus. The single biggest recent shift is the surge in odds for $65k to near certainty as Bitcoin approached that level, confirmed by the July 20 headline 'Bitcoin price hits $65K wall'.
7 outcomes
Which price will Bitcoin hit in July?
The field is overwhelmingly concentrated on $65,000 at 98%, reflecting a near-certainty that Bitcoin will hit that level in July, but the price is currently stuck at a wall and volatility indicators are flashing danger, suggesting the odds may be overpriced for a breakout above that level.
3 outcomes
Which price will Solana hit in July?
The field has narrowed to a two-horse race between $90 and $70 after a 5% slide on July 9 (CryptoRank) pulled back from the $80+ level seen on July 4 (Crypto Briefing), leaving $60 as a distant third.
3 outcomes
Will Bitcoin to cross $100,000 USD again in 2026?
Despite a brief rally to $74k in March, Bitcoin has since fallen back to the $63k range and a death cross appeared, making the market skeptical that a repeat of the $100k breakout is possible in 2026; the heavy 75% No odds reflect a wait-and-see attitude toward a predicted September bull market.
Yes ≈ 25% chance
What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?
The field is heavily concentrated in the $60k–$90k range (76% combined), with a notable shift towards the $75k–$90k bucket (28%) likely driven by recent AI-generated price predictions and expert optimism, while the lower bucket below $60k has shrunk to 11%.
5 outcomes