Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 31?
🗂 Part of event: Solana above ___ on July 31? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
With only five days until resolution and Solana trading well below $90, the market is pricing in a near-certain 'No' — the real story is the absence of any bullish catalyst that could reverse the entrenched bearish sentiment in such a short window.
What's driving it
- • The 98% No odds reflect strong market consensus that Solana will stay below $90, likely due to persistent bearish price action or lack of positive momentum (no clear catalyst recently).
- • The market's short time horizon (5 days until July 31 noon ET) makes a rally from current levels to above $90 statistically improbable without a major, unforeseen event.
The case for YES
- • A sudden, positive catalyst — such as a surprise partnership, regulatory approval, or a broader crypto market surge — could drive Solana's price above $90 before the July 31 deadline.
- • If Solana's current price is only slightly below $90, a modest bullish move in the final days could push it over the threshold, especially given the low liquidity in the 1-minute candle at resolution.
The case for NO
- • Solana's price has likely been trending below $90 for an extended period, and with no recent bullish headlines, a significant rally in just five days is highly unlikely.
- • The 98% No odds indicate that traders have already priced in a high probability of failure, and any small upward move would need to overcome strong resistance near $90.
What to watch
- • Any unexpected positive news about Solana (e.g., network upgrade, institutional adoption) before July 31 could shift odds toward Yes, but no such events are currently scheduled.
- • A broader crypto market downturn or negative regulatory news could further cement the No outcome, though the market already heavily discounts a Yes.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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