Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
🗂 Part of event: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 77% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 77% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?
5 outcomes
Will Bitcoin to cross $100,000 USD again in 2026?
Yes ≈ 25% chance