Set 2 Winner: Kumasaka vs Bax
🗂 Part of event: Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 40% chance — less likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 40% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Florent Bax in the Samsun, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kumasaka” if Takuya Kumasaka wins set 2. It will resolve to “Bax” if Florent Bax wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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