Set Handicap: Bax (-1.5) vs Kumasaka (+1.5)
🗂 Part of event: Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 37% chance — less likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 37% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Takuya Kumasaka in the Samsun, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bax" if Florent Bax wins by 2 or more sets than Takuya Kumasaka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kumasaka." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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