Set 1 Winner: Arseneault vs Xu
🗂 Part of event: Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 78% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 78% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Annabelle Xu in the Vancouver, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arseneault” if Ariana Arseneault wins the first set. It will resolve to “Xu” if Annabelle Xu wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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