Will RWAs hit $50B by December 31?
🗂 Part of event: Will RWAs hit $50B by ___? →Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Total RWA Value” shown on rwa.xyz is equal to or greater than $50B on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the “Total RWA Value” chart set to “1m”, available at: https://app.rwa.xyz/ A data point on the rwa.xyz chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If rwa.xyz becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
The field is extremely concentrated on $65k and $75k, both at 99%, reflecting near-certainty that Bitcoin will reach at least $65k and likely $75k in 2026, driven by a recent surge past $66k on July 22 fueled by strong ETF inflows and a bullish technical pattern (Yahoo Finance Singapore, Jul 25; CoinDesk, Jul 22).
7 outcomes
Which price will Solana hit in July?
The $70 target leads at 30%, but the field is far from decided; the single largest recent shift appears to be the mixed impact of a record stablecoin market cap and a $1.65M exploit on the same day (July 20), which may have widened the probability spread.
3 outcomes
BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?
The market is relatively concentrated on the $55K dump (64%), reflecting prevailing bearish sentiment, but the $84K pump still holds a 36% chance, indicating that a positive catalyst could quickly shift odds.
2 outcomes
Which price will Bitcoin hit in July?
The market is effectively settled: with Bitcoin trading above $65,000 as of July 26 and only five days left in July, the 98% odds for $65,000 reflect a near-certain outcome rather than a speculative bet, leaving no room for the other two price levels.
3 outcomes