Next Black Panther actor?

🗂 Part of event: Next Black Panther actor? →

12¢Damson Idris

+24 more

Tap a candidate to show/hide its line · double-tap to isolate

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: Damson Idris at about a 12% chance.

✨ Ask about this market

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo

Total volume$1.2K

24h volume$1.2K

Liquidity

Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Optimistic oracleSettled by UMA's optimistic oracle

Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.

⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next live-action Black Panther actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next live-action Black Panther in a film, regardless of any changes made thereafter. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or series will not qualify. Only live-action film castings will qualify. If no actor is announced as the next Black Panther within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Black Panther chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Marvel or its parent companies (e.g., the Walt Disney Company). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Polymarket ↗