World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
AllDate Threshold Markets 6374Climate & weather 4746Geopolitics & conflict 1641US Election Margins 412Global Political Shifts 316Health 291Commodities & energy 260Daily Crypto Predictions 81Fable 5 Access 58Country Presidents 26Esports CS2 Events 6Discord IPO Valuation 3
1,823 markets · page 10 of 76
Manifold· Play
Open
Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?
Yes44¢
No56¢
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Ɱ64 Vol 0pts4y
Polymarket
Open