World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
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4 markets
Polymarket
Open
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
The market heavily discounts any European military strike on Iran by July 31, as recent headlines show European leaders actively resisting US pressure to join the campaign, despite some escalatory rhetoric and logistical tensions.
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$82.2K Vol 2pts5d