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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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World prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6395 Climate & weather 5152 Geopolitics & conflict 1671 US Election Margins 412 Health 332 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 266 Daily Crypto Predictions 93 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

971 markets · page 12 of 41

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jacob Steinhardt play Starcraft 2 and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1011121314…41Next ›

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$594 Vol▲ 0pts15d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Germany withdraw its gold from US vaults?

France's profitable gold repatriation in April 2026 set a precedent, but Germany has not followed, and the 84% No odds reflect that Germany's political and economic calculus differs from France's, with no official signal of a pending move.

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 28, 2026? — Above $93.99

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$740 Vol▲ 0pts2d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an oil spill in Alaska before 2030?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ153 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 81.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 28, 2026? — Above $81.49

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts2d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2028?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ40 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $102.50

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$6.4K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Will the copper close price be above 6.10 USD/Lbs on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $6.10

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$515 Vol▲ 0pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Quaise Energy create a working geothermal power plant before 2029?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ298 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the gold close price be above 4045 USD/t.oz on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $4045

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

$2K Vol▲ 4pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 22000 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ155 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the natural gas close price be above 3.799 USD/MMBtu on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $3.799

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will renewable energy sources account for more than 50% of global electricity production by 2030?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ561 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the silver close price be above 57.25 USD/t.oz on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $57.25

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

$840 Vol▲ 7pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 28, 2026? — Above $86.49

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$1.3K Vol▼ 16pts2d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the price of silver fall below $30/ oz by end of 2026

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ408 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.99 USD/Bbl on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $100.99

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$751 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Gold above $6k in 2026?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the silver close price be above 57.99 USD/t.oz on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $57.99

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will gold trade below $1000 (2026 dollars) per troy ounce before 2035?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ3.6K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

Will the silver close price be above 43.99 USD/t.oz on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $43.99

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$450 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $96.49

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$4.4K Vol▼ 1pts1d