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World prediction markets & live odds — page 19 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6388 Climate & weather 5124 Geopolitics & conflict 1666 US Election Margins 412 Health 325 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 86 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,846 markets · page 19 of 77

Manifold· Play

Open

[Metaculus] Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1718192021…77Next ›

Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ25.6K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$1.5K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will the Human Development Index (HDI) of Niger be in 2030, assuming the (current) coup succeeds?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$2.6K Vol2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2035?

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ397 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Polymarket

Open

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$3.6K Vol▼ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will all 31 current NATO member countries still be NATO members in 2030?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ900 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$1.3K Vol▼ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ72 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$859 Vol▲ 2pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Israel still exist in 2100?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

Ɱ521 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$1.6K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China have a domestic EUV maker by 2030?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ130 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

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Open

Will Iran be a democratic republic or a constitutional monarchy by 31 December 2027

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ474 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will China fight a major land war by 2035?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ132 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ269 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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The number of operational world nuclear reactors is below 500 in mid 2039

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ77 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Open

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ372 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2027? (Tumbles Judgement)

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ14 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ291 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$62.1K Vol2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China fake their first "lunar landing"?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y