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Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026?
The Houthis have broken a months-long maritime lull by threatening a Saudi blockade and attacking a Saudi vessel, but the market still sees a July 30 strike as unlikely, suggesting traders doubt the group can sustain a new campaign or that the July 23 attack on the Encelia already fulfills the recent threat.
Yes20¢
No81¢
Yes ≈ 20% chance
$422 Vol 2pts4d