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World prediction markets & live odds — page 74 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6382 Climate & weather 5178 Geopolitics & conflict 1654 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 311 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 86 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,835 markets · page 74 of 77

Manifold· Play

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Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ590 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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‹ Prev1…727374757677Next ›

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[Metaculus] Will Russia purchase an American weapons system before 2050?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ260 Vol▲ 0pts—

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No regular public passenger flights from the US to Taiwan for a month, before 2039

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ51 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will the US China schwarzman scholars program still be running in 2028?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ167 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ23.7K Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ17.9K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ130 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will China alone install over 8713 GW in 2030?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ2.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ44.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will I beat Emily in the 2023-2028 BMI War?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ186 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ26.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Israel authorize the sale of offensive military equipment to Ukraine?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ817 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ354 Vol▲ 0pts14y

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Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ106 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will China polysilicon production for 2027 exceed 1500 kt?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Given a PRC invasion which controls Taiwan for at least a month, will there be real resistance fighters, through 2034

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ175 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

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[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ13.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

The market sees a U.S. default on debt held by China before 2027 as extremely unlikely, despite rising U.S. debt concerns and China's own debt troubles, because no headline suggests any imminent U.S. payment failure or bilateral debt renegotiation.

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ106K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ744 Vol▲ 0pts3y