KalshiCultureOpenUpdated Apr 23, 2026

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

113 markets · 4mo

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Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$5.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Selena Gomez have a #1 hit this year?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$22 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Grimes have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$108 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Zara Larsson have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Clairo have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$335 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Geese have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$384 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Tyler, The Creator

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$3.5K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will SIENNA SPIRO have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$903 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will EsDeeKid have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$201 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$2.8K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

YoungBoy Never Broke Again

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$729 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lil Yachty have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$26 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Charli xcx have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit this year?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$10.3K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lil Wayne have a #1 hit this year?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$5K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lil Uzi Vert have a #1 hit this year?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$799 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will USHER have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$208 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Tyla have a #1 hit this year?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Tyga have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trippie Redd have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$6 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Travis Scott have a #1 hit this year?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$2.5K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Justin Timberlake

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Young Thug have a #1 hit this year?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Tate McRae have a #1 hit this year?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$1.4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will SZA have a #1 hit this year?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$1.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Swae Lee have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Stray Kids have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.6K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will sombr have a #1 hit this year?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$581 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Sia have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$1.8K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Shawn Mendes have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Shaboozey have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$651 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Sam Smith have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$215 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Sabrina Carpenter

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$3.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Rauw Alejandro

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$386 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will ROSALÍA have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$24 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Roddy Ricch have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$35 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Rihanna have a #1 hit this year?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$2.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Quavo have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Post Malone have a #1 hit this year?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$7.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Polo G have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

PinkPantheress

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.3K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Pharrell Williams

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$22 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will PARTYNEXTDOOR have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ozuna have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit this year?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$9.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Offset have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$63 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Nicki Minaj have a #1 hit this year?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$1.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will NF have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$239 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lil Nas X have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Migos have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will mgk have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.3K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Megan Thee Stallion

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$1.4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Maroon 5 have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$13 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will The Marías have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$179 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$4.4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Luke Combs have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lola Young have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$42 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Logic have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Linkin Park have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$280 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lewis Capaldi have a #1 hit this year?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$279 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Leon Thomas have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$735 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lana Del Rey have a #1 hit this year?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$1.6K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lady Gaga have a #1 hit this year?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Kodak Black have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$22 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Kid Cudi have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will The Kid LAROI have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$85 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Khalid have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$525 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Kendrick Lamar

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$3.5K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will KATSEYE have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$3.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will KAROL G have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$605 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Kanye West / Ye

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$22.3K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Kali Uchis have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$128 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$1.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Joji have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$2.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will John Mayer have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$11 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will J. Cole have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$13.8K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will J Balvin have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$413 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Jason Derulo have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$91 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ice Spice have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$478 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$3.6K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Future have a #1 hit this year?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$11.8K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Fred again.. have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$246 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Frank Ocean have a #1 hit this year?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Fall Out Boy have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$230 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Eminem have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$182 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit this year?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$5.7K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Doja Cat have a #1 hit this year?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1.9K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Doechii have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.3K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will David Guetta have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$440 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Daniel Caesar have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$6 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Daft Punk have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$273 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Dua Lipa have a #1 hit this year?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$2.4K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Coldplay have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$434 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Chris Brown have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.2K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Childish Gambino

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$74 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Chappell Roan have a #1 hit this year?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$1.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Charlie Puth have a #1 hit this year?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Camilo have a #1 hit this year?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Calvin Harris have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$562 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Bryson Tiller have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$11 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will BLACKPINK have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.8K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Billie Eilish have a #1 hit this year?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$2.5K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Big Sean have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$15 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Beyoncé have a #1 hit this year?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

$5.9K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Benson Boone have a #1 hit this year?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1.6K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Bebe Rexha have a #1 hit this year?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$332 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Lil Baby have a #1 hit this year?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$520 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anuel AA have a #1 hit this year?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$57 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit this year?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.1K Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Addison Rae have a #1 hit this year?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$352 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will 2 Chainz have a #1 hit this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$42 Vol 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will 21 Savage have a #1 hit this year?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$58 Vol 0pts4mo

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