Will Kanye West / Ye have a #1 hit this year?

🗂 Part of event: Who will have a #1 hit this year? →

10¢Yes

7% 5 pts all-time

Yes

10¢

90¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 10% chance — very unlikely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 10% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 21, 2026 · 4mo

Total volume$22.4K

24h volume$51

Open interest$3.4K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (4mo)

Resolution criteria

If Kanye West / Ye has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗