KalshiWorldOpenUpdated Jun 22, 2026
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
14 markets · 4d
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will Washington have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes6¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$5.8K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Virginia have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes24¢
No76¢
Yes ≈ 24% chance
$6.2K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Tennessee have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes9¢
No91¢
Yes ≈ 9% chance
$2.8K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes37¢
No63¢
Yes ≈ 37% chance
$8.3K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will North Dakota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$3.3K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Missouri have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$211K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Minnesota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
The market sees only a 19% chance of D4 'exceptional' drought in Minnesota this summer, despite a recent return of extreme conditions, because D4 is historically rare in the state and requires prolonged, severe dryness that current patterns have not yet produced.
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$3.7K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Louisiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$3.1K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Kansas have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$2.3K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Indiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$1.7K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Illinois have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$1.3K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Iowa have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes4¢
No96¢
Yes ≈ 4% chance
$1.2K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will California have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$4.1K Vol 0pts4d
Kalshi
Open
Will Arizona have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?
Yes11¢
No89¢
Yes ≈ 11% chance
$3.3K Vol 1pts4d
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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