KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Jun 4, 2026
Will Trump be impeached?
4 markets · 1mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the President be impeached before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$62.1K Vol 0pts1mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the President be impeached before Mar 1, 2027? — Before Mar 1, 2027
Yes22¢
No78¢
Yes ≈ 22% chance
$202K Vol 0pts7mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028
The market is pricing a 59% chance of impeachment before 2028, but the recent headlines are almost entirely about the ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte in the Philippines, not the U.S. President, making the odds appear disconnected from the actual resolution condition.
Yes59¢
No41¢
Yes ≈ 59% chance
$859K Vol 0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027
The 3% Yes price for US President impeachment is a baseline-low probability, not a reaction to recent events, as all provided headlines concern the unrelated Philippine Vice President's impeachment trial.
Yes4¢
No96¢
Yes ≈ 4% chance
$1.3M Vol 0pts5mo
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…