Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

The market puts this at about a 56% chance — more likely than not.

The same question trades on 3 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.

✨ The prediction markets collectively imply a 55% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic will return to normal by December 31, with a narrow 3-point spread between venues, likely due to slight differences in trader pools or liquidity.

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 56% right now.