Will Ed Sheeran have a top 10 song this year?

🗂 Part of event: Who will have a top 10 song this year? →

6¢Yes

11% 4 pts all-time

Yes

6¢

94¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 26, 2026 · 5mo

Total volume$385

Open interest$237

ListedJan 1, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 26, 2026 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If Ed Sheeran has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗