Will SIENNA SPIRO have a top 10 song this year?

🗂 Part of event: Who will have a top 10 song this year? →

52¢Yes

40% 2 pts all-time

Yes

52¢

48¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 52% chance — a coin toss.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 52% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 26, 2026 · 5mo

Total volume$1.6K

24h volume$2

Open interest$634

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Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 26, 2026 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If SIENNA SPIRO has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗