Will Tom Cruise be cast in a Film With Ana de Armas?

🗂 Part of event: Tom Cruise cast in another film with Ana de Armas? →

38¢Yes

42% 0 pts all-time

Yes

38¢

62¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 38% chance — less likely than not.

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My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 38% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 31, 2030 · 4y

Total volume$861

Open interest$311

ListedSep 3, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 31, 2030 (4y)

Resolution criteria

If Tom Cruise is cast in a Film With Ana de Armas before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗