Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?

🗂 Part of event: Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond →

5¢Yes

4% 2 pts all-time

Yes

5¢

95¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 5% chance — very unlikely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 5% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2030 · 3y

Total volume$45.7K

24h volume$75

Open interest$23.1K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2030 (3y)

Resolution criteria

If Idris Elba is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗