Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.50% in Dec 2025?
🗂 Part of event: What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 45% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 45% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the 12-month inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.50% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
The field is highly concentrated on a hold, but the recent surge in oil prices near $100 (The Business Times, Jul 26) has injected fresh inflation fears, making a hike more plausible than the 78% hold odds suggest, while the Fed chair's deliberate opacity (MarketWatch, Jul 25) keeps the market guessing.
5 outcomes
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
4 outcomes