Will Government of the UK report that David Lammy is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham?
🗂 Part of event: Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
Across venues
· updated 3hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the implied chance of David Lammy being in a Burnham cabinet is
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If David Lammy is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Despite ongoing regional tensions, the US is actively de-escalating, with President Trump holding off on strikes against Iran for the first time in two weeks, causing invasion odds to drop sharply.
Yes ≈ 20% chance