Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise its cash rate target before 2027?

🗂 Part of event: Which central banks will hike before 2027? →

10¢Yes

64% 1 pts all-time

Yes

10¢

90¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 10% chance — very unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 10% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$886

Open interest$874

ListedMay 15, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate target is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗